Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Barranca Quilmena stadium (Quilmes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Argentino de Quilmes		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.7	2.65
	2.88	2.82	2.62	Watch
	2.95	2.78	2.5
				Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.7
	2.86	2.82	2.59
	2.9	3	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.6)	2.8 ↓ (3.15)	2.58 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Quilmes
32.1%

Draw
32.5%

Ferrocarril Midland
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

29%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27.8%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentino de Quilmes's performance.

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrocarril Midland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino de Quilmes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrocarril Midland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Argentino de Quilmes - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 2. Gomez M. 6. Velozo G. 3. Nunez T. 4. Filliol F. 8. Guzman L. 5. Vega M. 10. Ortiz A. 11. Molina J. 7. Filosa L. 9. Torancio E.	1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 13. Monzon S. 6. Meza F. 3. Cataldi F. 8. Frattini M. 5. Violini N. 10. Campana A. I. 11. Molina F. 7. Rogoski M. 9. Vico L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Frattini M. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
56', Cataldi F. 🟨,
58', Campana A. I. 🟨,
64', Molina F. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
73', Guzman L. ↓, Alfonso S. ↑,
74', Filliol F. 🟨,
78', Campana A. I. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
78', Molina J. ↓, Madariaga E. ↑,
81', Ortiz A. ↓, Rebecchi L. ↑,
85', Rogoski M. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
88', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 3.

Recent form of Argentino de Quilmes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferrocarril is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
28.06.25	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Acassuso - Argentino de Quilmes	5:2 ✺
14.06.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Argentino de Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLL
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
29.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
08.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Liniers - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
14.02.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0
15.07.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1
24.02.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Quilmes	0:3
Argentinian Primera C
07.04.19	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1
28.10.18	Argentino de Quilmes - Ferrocarril Midland	3:1
08.05.18	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2
11.12.17	Argentino de Quilmes - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1

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