Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 21

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Ferrocarril Midland		Deportivo Flandria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.25	5.75
				Watch
	1.79	3.25	5.52
				Watch
	1.4	3.75	9
	1.77	3.15	5.02
	1.45	3.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	3.44 ↓ (3.75)	6.66 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
58.7%

Draw
27.2%

Deportivo Flandria
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.3%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Flandria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrocarril (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Flandria (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Flandria (3.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ferrocarril Midland will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrocarril (votes: 1 - 25%). Flandria (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Figueroa R. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Cataldi F. 8. Frattini M. (C) 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Molina F. 10. Campana A. I. 9. Vico L.	1. Figueroa T. (G) 4. Correa M. 2. Morales A. 6. Morales R. 3. Spitale D. 8. Gonzalez B. 5. Nalerio A. (C) 7. Guelfi B. 11. Gonzalez D. 10. Bustamante F. 9. Palacio J.
Substitutes
14. Aguilar D. 12. Avendano N. (G) 19. Calabria G. 15. Cucinotta M. 17. Gomez G. 20. Goyeneche J. 13. Meza F. 16. Nunez D. 18. Olivera E.	20. Ascacibar M. 18. De la Riva R. 17. Echague T. 19. Esteche J. 14. Gonzalez A. E. 13. Orensans J. 12. Ramos D. (G) 16. Salega G. 15. Schiavoni F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Rogoski M. ⚽,
21', Morales A. 🟨,
35', Guelfi B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nalerio A. ↓, Echague T. ↑,
54', 🟨,
64', Molina F. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
65', Palacio J. ↓, De La Riva R. ↑,
65', Gonzalez B. ↓, Schiavoni F. ↑,
65', Bustamante F. ↓, Esteche J. ↑,
77', Gonzalez D. ↓, Salega G. ↑,
77', Campana A. I. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
80', Vico L. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
80', Frattini M. ↓, Meza F. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Olivera E. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final) and 18).

Ferrocarril is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flandria's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ferrocarril is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
15.06.25	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
08.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Liniers - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Comunicaciones	3:0 ✺
18.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWWL
- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera B
14.06.25	Deportivo Flandria - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Flandria	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Deportivo Flandria - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Flandria	3:0 ✺
20.05.25	Deportivo Flandria - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.09.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Flandria	0:1
13.04.24	Deportivo Flandria - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1

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