Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 19

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Ferrocarril Midland		Deportivo Laferrere

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.25	5.25
	1.65	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.67	3.19	5.64	Watch
	1.55	3.3	7
	1.74	3.44	4.94	Watch
	1.65	3.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	5.64 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
55.7%

Draw
28%

Deportivo Laferrere
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferrocarril Midland will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Cataldi F. 10. Campana A. I. 7. Rogoski M. 5. Violini N. 8. Frattini M. (C) 11. Molina F. 9. Vico L.	1. Ayala J. (G) 4. Ortega F. 2. Gomez F. 6. Cardozo D. 3. Paulides A. 8. Vivas N. 5. Trejo E. (C) 10. Goberville L. 7. Mhamed L. 9. Gugenheim C. 11. Ortiz F.
Substitutes
20. Arias A. 12. Avendano N. (G) 19. Calabria G. 15. Cucinotta M. 14. Figueroa R. 17. Gomez G. 13. Meza F. 16. Nunez D. 18. Olivera E.	14. Aquino S. 16. Benitez M. 19. Digion R. 17. Espeche A. 18. More I. 12. Morel C. (G) 15. Real F. 13. Solis D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Diaz Laharque L. ⚽,
18', Cataldi F. 🟨,
23', Gugenheim C. 🟨,
30', Mhamed L. 🟨,
35', Trejo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ortega F. ↓, Real F. ↑,
46', Mhamed L. ↓, More I. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Campana A. I. ⚽,
56', More I. 🟨,
67', Vico L. ↓, Meza F. ↑,
67', Campana A. I. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
76', Cardozo D. 🟨,
78', Frattini M. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
83', Molina F. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
83', Rogoski M. ↓, Cucinotta M. ↑,
83', Goberville L. ↓, Espeche A. ↑,
84', Olivera E. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 3.

Ferrocarril is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo Laferrere has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferrocarril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferrocarril is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
31.05.25	Liniers - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Comunicaciones	3:0 ✺
18.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Sacachispas - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWT
- Deportivo Laferrere
Argentinian Primera B
01.06.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
20.05.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
04.11.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
15.06.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	3:1
Argentinian Primera C
14.07.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Ferrocarril Midland	3:1
10.03.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1
15.08.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1
11.04.22	Deportivo Laferrere - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
08.09.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	2:2

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