Match Info

Primera B - Round 5

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Barranca Quilmena stadium (Quilmes)


	Argentino de Quilmes		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	2.78	2.62	Watch
	2.73	2.75	2.82
	2.79	2.8	2.64	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.7
	2.57	2.94	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.76)	2.79 ↑ (2.72)	2.68 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Quilmes
33.8%

Draw
32.4%

Excursionistas
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

33.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

34.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 6. Barreto R. 8. Castano S. 3. Diez E. 11. Filliol F. 10. Filosa L. 9. Guzman L. 4. Lando F. 7. Martinez J. 5. Vega M. 2. Zarate E.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
15. Alfonso S. 14. Benavidez N. 16. Ceccotti M. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 19. Compagnucci M. 13. Cosciuc F. 18. Di Marco V. 20. Gomez M. 17. Pena D.	18. Arbello I. 12. Blengio M. (G) 15. Damiolini N. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 17. Pereyra J. 19. Scaramuzzi E. 20. Tellas G. 16. Valenzuela A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Blanco M. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vega M. ↓, Ceccotti M. ↑,
52', Avalos A. 🟨,
56', Igarzabal H. ↓, Maizarez I. ↑,
56', Alaniz M. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
68', Blanco M. ↓, Scaramuzzi E. ↑,
68', Avalos A. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Damiolini N. ⚽,
77', Damiolini N. 🟨,
77', Filliol F. ↓, Compagnucci M. ↑,
83', Lando F. 🟨,
88', Castano S. ↓, Di Marco V. ↑,
90+4', Polvera M. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Lando F. ⚽,

Preview

Federation decision.

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 3.

Argentino de Quilmes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Excursionistas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
16	Argentino de Quilmes	38	9	16	13	30:37	-7	43

Last Results with these Odds

Excursionistas - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
23.05.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Comunicaciones - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Camioneros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLLT
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
22.05.26	Excursionistas - Liniers	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
28.06.25	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2
09.02.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas	2:1
02.12.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas	1:0
23.11.24	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0
26.10.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas	1:1
09.06.24	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	2:3
Argentinian Primera C
04.05.19	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0

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