Match Info

Primera B - Round 27

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Merlo		Villa San Carlos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.90	3.50
	2.05	2.88	3.65	Watch
	2.14	3.07	3.7
	2.07	3.05	3.53	Watch
	2.07	3	3.4
	2.08	2.98	3.95
	2.03	2.85	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.9)	2.96 ↓ (3)	3.62 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
44%

Draw
30.8%

Villa San Carlos
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.6%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Merlo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 10. Cabrera D. 2. Figueredo L. 11. Maguicha D. 3. Miguez L. 5. Ojeda G. (C) 7. Quinteros E. 9. Sandoval I. 6. Sineiro C. 4. Vallejo L.	1. Akimenco T. (G) 3. Canete S. 2. Esteves I. 11. Fabi S. 8. Farias F. 5. Gonzalez E. 7. Lugones A. 10. Melillo E. (C) 6. Ojeda F. 9. Pavia K. 4. Ponton A.
Substitutes
13. Barrientos L. 16. Casasola N. 17. Da Rosa J. E. 19. Diaz A. 20. Gugenheim C. 14. Ibarra L. 18. Paez A. M. 15. Petrone F. 12. Ratti V. (G)	15. Acosta A. 17. Alvarez R. 12. Bangardino P. (G) 18. Cairo F. 20. Ferrante F. 14. Guallama F. 13. Martinez A. 16. Mussis F. 19. Salinas R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Sandoval I. ⚽,
25', Lugones A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Lugones A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Miguez L. 🟨,
56', Quinteros E. ↓, Da Rosa J. E. ↑,
56', Maguicha D. ↓, Gugenheim C. ↑,
62', Lugones A. ↓, Ferrante F. ↑,
62', Canete S. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
62', Melillo E. ↓, Mussis F. ↑,
63', Pavia K. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Salinas R. ⚽,
71', Cabrera D. ↓, Casasola N. ↑,
72', Ojeda G. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
79', Sineiro C. ↓, Ibarra L. ↑,
83', Farias F. ↓, Acosta A. ↑,
89', Fabi S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Deportivo Merlo is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	37:39	-2	47
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
18.07.26	Liniers - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
14.07.26	Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar	3:2 ✺
10.07.26	UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Deportivo Merlo - Villa Dálmine	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTLL
- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
18.07.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Camioneros	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Villa San Carlos - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Ituzaingó - Villa San Carlos	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Liniers - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
14.03.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
12.10.25	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	1:1
24.05.25	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
27.07.24	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo	0:1
10.03.24	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	1:1
19.08.23	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	2:2
16.04.23	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo	1:0

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