The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa San Carlos 48.2%
Draw 30.7%
Defensores Unidos 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
30.3%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
28.9%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa San Carlos's performance.
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Akimenco T. (G) 2. Esteves I. 8. Farias F. 5. Gonzalez E. 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 7. Lugones A. 3. Martinez A. 10. Melillo E. 11. Mussis F. 6. Ojeda F. 9. Salinas R.
1. Henricot F. (G) 5. Baigorria A. 8. Ferreyra T. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 2. Lopez J. 9. Montani L. 3. Olivera L. 4. Ortigoza M. 11. Sombra A. 6. Suarez F.
Substitutes
16. Acosta A. 20. Almiron M. 13. Areco G. 12. Bangardino P. (G) 15. Cairo F. 14. Canete S. 19. Ferrante F. 18. Guallama F. 17. Ponton A.
18. Carboni B. 15. Gomez Z. 19. Herrera S. 20. Lopez M. 13. Lorenzo A. 17. Pedraza L. 14. Rapetti M. 12. Salerno F. (G) 16. Salvo D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Olivera L. 🟨,
12', Suarez F. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Mussis F. ⚽,
45+3', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mussis F. ↓, Areco G. ↑,
51', Areco G. 🟨,
63', Sombra A. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
64', Lopez J. 🟨,
71', Martinez A. ↓, Canete S. ↑,
71', Farias F. ↓, Guallama F. ↑,
76', Salinas R. ↓, Almiron M. ↑,
78', Baigorria A. 🟨,
79', Lloyaiy A. 🟨,
80', Suarez F. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
80', Montani L. ↓, Salvo D. ↑,
81', Lugones A. ↓, Ponton A. ↑,
81', Melillo E. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', Ojeda F. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 1.
Villa San Carlos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Defensores Unidos is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Villa San Carlos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Villa San Carlos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa San Carlos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
18
Defensores Unidos
38
9
14
15
33:39
-6
41
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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