The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentinos Juniors 66.8%
Draw 21.7%
Arsenal Sarandí 11.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
25.6%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
23.9%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Sarandí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Sarandí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
0%
37.5%
Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 26).
Argentinos Juniors has the most likely position - 3 (8.36%), has project points - 44, has currently - 9, has a small chance of win league (6%).
Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (15.08%), has project points - 27, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 3.
Recent matches Argentinos Juniors is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Arsenal Sarandí is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Argentinos Juniors is certain favorite.
There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Ambrogio L.
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Argentinos Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.