Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Argentinos Juniors		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.01	3	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.25	4
	2.15	2.92	3.9	Watch
	2.16	3.01	4.34
	2.19	2.8	4.18	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.9
	2.07	3.03	4.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.93)	2.97 ↓ (3.17)	4.14 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
45.3%

Draw
31.8%

Lanús
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Argentinos Juniors - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Lanús will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cortes B. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 6. Riquelme R. D. 20. Prieto S. 10. Lescano A. (C) 24. Fattori F. 11. Oroz N. 48. Jainikoski F. 27. Molina T. 23. Lopez H.	26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 30. Cardozo A. 17. Medina A. 11. Salvio E. 10. Marcelino Moreno 25. Aquino D. 23. Carrera R.
Substitutes
26. Bravo C. 14. Coronel K. 21. Florentin G. 7. Giaccone L. 4. Godoy E. 8. Gomez L. 34. Kida R. 30. Morales I. 17. Paredes F. 33. Perez E. 47. Porcel D. 12. Siri Payer G. (G)	77. Besozzi L. 9. Bou W. 20. Cabrera B. 35. De Jesus R. 3. Morgantini N. 5. Pena Biafore F. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 27. Sanchez F. 16. Sepulveda M. 19. Valois Y. 8. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Diez N.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
22', Salvio E. 🟨,
23', Aquino D. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Alvarez F. ⚽, Oroz N. (A),
41', Fattori F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Lopez H. ↓, Morales I. ↑,
60', Jainikoski F. ↓, Porcel D. ↑,
64', Aquino D. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
64', Salvio E. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
70', Porcel D. 🟨,
74', Guidara T. 🟨,
78', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,
79', Marcich S. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
79', Medina A. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
83', Oroz N. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
83', Prieto S. ↓, Bravo C. ↑,
85', Carrera R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
89', Molina T. ↓, Godoy E. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Lescano A. ⚽, Riquelme R. D. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Argentinos Juniors is the team to beat.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Muscle Injury) Viveros E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Argentinos Juniors - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.63%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Argentinos Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Argentinos Juniors - Banfield	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW
- CA Lanús
Copa Libertadores
05.05.26	Always Ready - Lanús	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Lanús - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Lanús - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Lanús - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	2:1
Copa Argentina
08.09.25	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.07.24	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	2:0
20.03.23	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	0:0
06.10.22	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	0:4
29.10.21	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
16.03.20	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	0:1

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