Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	RTVS2


	Aris		Slovan Bratislava

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	1.85	3.8	4.1
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.94	3.73	3.98
	1.91	3.25	3.4
	1.9	3.68	3.82
	1.92	3.8	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.99)	3.64 ↓ (3.73)	3.86 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
49.6%

Draw
26%

Slovan Bratislava
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

25.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Slovan Bratislava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	9.3%	7.4%

Aris - Slovan Bratislava Predictions

Users Predictions: Aris will win (45 of 54 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.39% – 93.27%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vana Alves (C) 6. Boakye E. 31. Brorsson F. 20. Yago S. 3. Caju 37. Szoke J. 23. Struski K. 21. Mayambela M. 14. Gomis Y. 66. Montnor J. 11. Stepinski M.	82. Borjan M. (G) 28. Blackman C. 12. Bajric K. 6. Wimmer K. 36. Lovat L. 33. Kucka J. (C) 20. Kankava J. 24. Tolic M. 23. Zuberu S. 13. Strelec D. 18. Marcelli N.
Substitutes
80. Babicka S. 7. Bengtsson L. 8. Brown M. 78. Chrysostomou K. (G) 12. Dimitriou A. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 90. Sofroniou E. (G) 10. Spoljaric M. 72. Urosevic S.	15. Abubakari M. 3. Agbo U. 11. Barseghyan T. 77. Cavric A. 35. Hrdina A. (G) 4. Kashia G. 5. Krizan R. 26. Lichy F. 25. Pauschek L. 88. Savvidis K. 31. Trnovsky M. (G) 27. Vojtko M.
Coaches
Shpilevski A.	Weiss V. sr.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Aris has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Slovan Bratislava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aris have a series of guest games.

In this match Aris is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Slovan Bratislava to win the game is with odds 3.99.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
27.08.23	Lamia - Aris	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Slovan Bratislava - Aris	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
20.08.23	OFI - Aris	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Aris	3:1 penalties ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Aris - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Slovan Bratislava
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Slovan Bratislava - Aris	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Maccabi Haifa - Slovan Bratislava	3:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
12.08.23	Skalica - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.23	Slovan Bratislava - Maccabi Haifa	1:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
05.08.23	Slovan Bratislava - Dukla Banská Bystrica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Slovan Bratislava - Aris	2:1

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