Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Aris		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.2
	2.23	3.25	3.3
	2.27	3.3	3.15
	2.36	3.37	3.2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.31	3.38	3.04
	2.35	3.4	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.73)	3.31 ↑ (3.08)	3.12 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
41.4%

Draw
28.4%

Raków Częstochowa
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.3%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aris's performance.

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	14.7%	14.7%

Aris - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Raków will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 55.3% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vana (C) 6. Boakye E. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 20. Yago S. 3. Caju 23. Struski K. 8. Brown M. 21. Mayambela M. 14. Gomis Y. 7. Bengtsson L. 11. Stepinski M.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. 66. Papanikolaou G. 5. Berggren G. 20. Silva J. C. 77. Cebula M. 99. Piasecki F. 30. Kochergin V.
Substitutes
80. Babicka S. 78. Chrysostomou K. (G) 12. Dimitriou A. 66. Montnor J. 22. Nikolic V. 90. Sofroniou E. (G) 10. Spoljaric M. 37. Szoke J. 72. Urosevic S.	6. Czyz S. 21. Drachal D. 93. Kittel S. 15. Kovacevic A. 8. Lederman B. 27. Nowak B. 14. Plavsic S. 22. Sorescu D. 12. Tsiftsis A. (G) 9. Zwolinski L.
Coaches
Shpilevski A.	Szwarga D.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Aris is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Raków is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aris will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Aris - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Aris	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Aris - Ararat-Armenia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.08.23	BATE Borisov - Aris	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Ararat-Armenia - Aris	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWT
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.23	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Aris	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
26.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Qarabağ Agdam	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Aris	2:1

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