Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Vergetis C. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports Prime


	Aris		Iraklis

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.60	5.00
	1.7	3.55	4.85	Watch
	1.72	3.72	5.4
	1.69	3.69	4.96
	1.68	3.65	5.3
	1.66	3.76	5.01	Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	3.65 ↑ (3.45)	5 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
55.7%

Draw
25.6%

Iraklis
18.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Iraklis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aris - Iraklis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Aris (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aris will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Velho R. (G) 27. Fadiga N. 4. Fabiano 44. Sutalo B. 3. Richards O. 18. Hongla M. 10. Racic U. (C) 7. Garre B. 70. Gianniotas G. 9. Kadewere T. 80. Moron L.	33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 30. Soria C. (C) 2. Vouros P. 21. Pina 69. Roche Y. 31. Nanu 11. Lopez I. 90. Sourlis V. 8. Radoja N. 18. Nizet R. 43. Marques P.
Substitutes
19. Alfarela M. 24. Barbopoulos A. (G) 49. Boussaid O. 77. Bruma 20. Dele-Bashiru T. 5. Garcia M. 97. Jensen F. 8. Kouame C. 21. Majkic L. (G) 17. Mir R. 2. Petris J. 45. Thiam M.	17. Anastasiadis N. 4. Chakla S. 14. Hromada J. 22. Kaiboue K. 1. Karakasidis G. (G) 7. Koljic E. 27. Krainz M. 9. Kushta K. 44. Lauritsen R. 6. Rodriguez C. 16. Tsintotas P. (G) 3. Vitor Meer
Coaches
Grigoriou M.	Mazzarri W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Hongla M. 🟨,
37', Lopez I. 🟨,
44', Vouros P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Moron L. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
65', Garre B. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
65', Hongla M. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
69', Roche Y. 🟨,
73', Sourlis V. ↓, Krainz M. ↑,
75', Gianniotas G. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
81', Kadewere T. ↓, Mir R. ↑,
89', Lopez I. ↓, Vitor Meer ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 8th in the Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Aris may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Aris carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Aris: Gning M. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Iraklis: Barcenas Y. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Aris: Galanopoulos K. (Inactive).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aris	7	4	1	2	10:13	-3	13
8	Iraklis 1908	7	2	3	2	7:8	-1	9

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Aris: 0.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Aris - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.25%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Cup
16.09.26	Aris - Marko	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.26	PAOK - Aris	2:0 ✺
Greek Cup
10.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
05.09.26	AEK Athens - Aris	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Aris - OFI	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTLW
- Iraklis Thessalonikis
Greek Super League
12.09.26	Iraklis - Atromitos Athens	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - Iraklis	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Volos - Iraklis	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	AEK Athens - Iraklis	4:0 ✺
Greek Cup
17.08.26	Iraklis - Volos	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTLL

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