Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Allwyn Arena (Athens)

Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 6
Austria	Laola1
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 11
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Germany	Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	AEK Athens		Aris

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.50	8.00	Watch
	1.39	4.60	8.00
	1.38	4.50	8.00	Watch
	1.39	4.98	8.61
	1.42	4.35	7.8	Watch
	1.35	4.90	8.50
	1.37	4.65	8.15	Watch
	1.35	4.40	7.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.61 ↑ (4.2)	8.08 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
68.1%

Draw
20.3%

Aris
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Athens's performance.

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

AEK Athens - Aris Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilio S. 14. Majer L. 27. Vitalis M. 18. Marin R. 8. Gacinovic M. 19. Varga B. 9. Jovic L.	33. Velho R. (G) 27. Fadiga N. 44. Sutalo B. 97. Jensen F. 3. Richards O. 20. Dele-Bashiru T. 10. Racic U. (C) 7. Garre B. 5. Garcia M. 70. Gianniotas G. 9. Kadewere T.
Substitutes
16. Arriaga K. 91. Brignoli A. (G) 15. Georgiev M. 23. Joao Mario 6. Kairinen K. 17. Kaloskamis D. 11. Koita A. 22. Lykogiannis C. 20. Mantalos P. 21. Vida D. 90. Zini 10. Zubkov O.	49. Boussaid O. 41. Charoupas K. 1. Dioudis S. (G) 18. Hongla M. 8. Kouame C. 21. Majkic L. (G) 17. Mir R. 80. Moron L. 34. Palacios S. 2. Petris J. 45. Thiam M. 22. Voriazidis M.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Grigoriou M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Varga B. ⚽, Majer L. (A),
27', Majer L. 🟨,
40', Rota L. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Gianniotas G. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
46', Garcia M. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Varga B. ⚽, Gacinovic M. (A),
64', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Hongla M. ↑,
64', Kadewere T. ↓, Mir R. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Marin R. ⚽, Majer L. (A),
68', Jovic L. ↓, Zini ↑,
68', Gacinovic M. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Koita A. ⚽, Vitalis M. (A),
80', Varga B. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
80', Marin R. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,
83', Majer L. ↓, Zubkov O. ↑,
83', Garre B. ↓, Boussaid O. ↑,
90', 5 - 0, Zini ⚽, Mantalos P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aris has had a series of away games.

In this match, AEK is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Aris: Galanopoulos K. (Inactive) Gning M. (Inactive)

We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:4. (average 1.8:0.4).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Aris: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEK Athens	6	4	2	0	16:3	13	14
7	Aris	5	2	1	2	5:10	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

AEK Athens - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Cup
02.09.26	Nestos Chrysoupoli - AEK Athens	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League
30.08.26	AE Kifisia - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	AEK Athens - Levski Sofia	4:0 ✺
Greek Super League
22.08.26	AEK Athens - Iraklis	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Levski Sofia - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWT
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
30.08.26	Aris - OFI	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Kalamata - Aris	2:3 ✺
Greek Cup
17.08.26	Anagennisi Karditsa - Aris	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Napoli - Aris	6:2 ✺
30.07.26	Monza - Aris	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
11.01.26	Aris - AEK Athens	1:1
23.11.25	AEK Athens - Aris	1:0
09.03.25	Aris - AEK Athens	0:0
Greek Cup
03.12.24	Aris - AEK Athens	1:1
Greek Super League
30.11.24	AEK Athens - Aris	4:0
Greek Cup
30.10.24	AEK Athens - Aris	1:0
Greek Super League
21.04.24	Aris - AEK Athens	1:2

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