Match Info

Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Tychy		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.1	Watch
	2.98	3.45	2.18	Watch
	3.19	3.6	2.17
	3.07	3.69	2.14	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.15
	3.01	3.55	2.2	Watch
	3.14	3.5	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.28)	3.5 ↓ (3.53)	2.15 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
30.6%

Draw
26.4%

Polonia Warsaw
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.4%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

25.4%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	5.6%	83.3%

GKS Tychy - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Tychy (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Polonia (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kolotylo K. (G) 37. Keiblinger J. 4. Lipkowski K. 3. Teclaw J. 18. Stefansson O. 11. Blachewicz M. 22. Kubik T. 8. Szpakowski M. 15. Bieronski J. 47. Jankowski B. 9. Rumin D.	96. Kuchta M. (G) 20. Brasido D. 3. Salihu H. 30. Cisse S. 97. Janasik P. 16. Poczobut B. 7. Vega D. 26. Gnaase D. 19. Vasin N. 17. Dadok R. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
23. Adamczyk N. 26. Brzek B. 5. Glogowski K. 28. Kalemba M. L. 21. Machowski K. 20. Pioterczak B. 7. Sanyang M. 1. Wechsel L. (G)	10. Bajdur M. 77. Buksa A. 99. Durmus I. 2. Grudniewski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 21. Kapusta A. 1. Sandach A. (G) 23. Skrabb S. 4. Szur P.
Coaches
Piszczek L.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Dadok R. ⚽, Zjawinski L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vasin N. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
57', Lipkowski K. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Rumin D. ⚽,
62', Poczobut B. ↓, Skrabb S. ↑,
72', Brasido D. ↓, Durmus I. ↑,
77', Jankowski B. ↓, Kalemba M. L. ↑,
80', Teclaw J. 🟨,
83', Dadok R. ↓, Szur P. ↑,
83', Cisse S. ↓, Hoxhallari E. ↑,
86', Teclaw J. 🟨,
88', Rumin D. ↓, Sanyang M. ↑,
90+6', Kubik T. ↓, Machowski K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 7).

GKS Tychy has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Polonia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Polonia will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Tychy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
28.11.25	Miedź Legnica - GKS Tychy	6:1 ✺
22.11.25	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	GKS Tychy - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
29.11.25	Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Polonia Warsaw - Odra Opole	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
27.07.25	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	1:2
26.04.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Warsaw	1:1
20.10.24	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	2:1
08.12.23	GKS Tychy - Polonia Warsaw	1:0
22.07.23	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	2:3

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