Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wisła Płock		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	101	26	1.01	Watch
	1.58	3.75	5
	81	46	1	Watch
	18	13	1.01
	1.64	3.79	5.06	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5
	59	15.8	1.01	Watch
	81	46	1
Avarage Now (Initially)	43.1 ↑ (1.61)	19.76 ↑ (3.87)	2.51 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
4.9%

Draw
10.7%

Znicz Pruszków
84.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-52.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Płock's form might have worsened.

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+66.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Znicz Pruszków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+55.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-67.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Znicz Pruszków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Wisła Płock - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Wisła Płock will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gradecki B. (G) 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 25. Mijuskovic N. 5. Nastic B. 14. Kun D. 18. Jimenez J. 30. Bosnjak D. 8. Pacheco D. 91. Kuchko G. 66. Salvador I. 20. Sekulski L. (C)	12. Misztal P. (C) 7. Sokol D. 6. Pawlik M. 26. Kendzia F. 99. Koprowski O. 11. Moskwik P. 29. Borecki M. 80. Plewka P. 30. Nowak W. 9. Majewski R. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
10. Al Hamawi A. 27. Borowski B. 2. Custovic K. 19. Edmundsson A. 16. Hiszpanski F. 22. Krawczyk P. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 77. Szymanski J.	10. Ciepiela B. 44. Gora L. 13. Imai K. 19. Karol M. 17. Kazimierczak A. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 8. Proczek T. 77. Romanowski P. 22. Tabara K.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Jimenez J. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Stanclik D. (Pen),
30', 1 - 2, Majewski R. ⚽, Nowak W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Majewski R. 🟨,
59', Bosnjak D. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
59', Kuchko G. ↓, Borowski B. ↑,
60', 1 - 3, Majewski R. ⚽, Moskwik P. (A),
63', Salvador I. 🟨,
72', Kun D. ↓, Al Hamawi A. ↑,
72', Borecki M. ↓, Imai K. ↑,
74', Al Hamawi A. 🟨,
77', Majewski R. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
77', Stanclik D. ↓, Karol M. ↑,
80', Jimenez J. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
81', Tabara K. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Mijuskovic N. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Wisła Płock is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Znicz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wisła Płock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wisła Płock is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Płock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
19.04.25	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Wisła Płock - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
10.04.25	Stal Rzeszów - Wisła Płock	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wisła Płock - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	GKS Tychy - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWL
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
21.04.25	Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Znicz Pruszków - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Chrobry Głogów - Znicz Pruszków	3:2 ✺
28.03.25	Znicz Pruszków - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.01.25	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Płock	2:1
Polish Division 1
19.10.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Płock	2:2
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Wisła Płock - Znicz Pruszków	2:0
Polish Division 1
17.05.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Płock	2:1
26.11.23	Wisła Płock - Znicz Pruszków	0:1

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