Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 26

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sola Arena (Karlstad) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	16:00	Ettan Play


	Karlstad		Arlanda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	3.50	4.00
	1.75	3.55	3.80
	1.75	4.05	4.43
	1.78	3.67	4.27	Watch
	1.63	4.00	4.35
	1.65	3.84	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)	3.77 ↑ (3.55)	4.17 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlstad
53.7%

Draw
24.4%

Arlanda
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

25.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Arlanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Karlstad - Arlanda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arlanda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Arlanda (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arlanda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlsson M. (G) 10. Alvers O. 8. Bark A. 7. Bellman H. 11. Bengtsson J. 21. Gustafsson K. 14. Hook I. 17. Jatta N. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 26. Tagoe B. 6. Zurmati S.	1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 15. Antholm I. 22. Butros M. 16. Drugge J. 3. Fredricson H. 27. Johansson E. 21. Kleist L. 2. Norberg C. 19. Rydz S. 24. Saeed A. 8. Yemane Y. (C)
Substitutes
20. Andersson Gards N. 2. Beko S. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 27. Kocys T. (G) 12. Miguel W. 16. Modou F. 24. Nfansu D.	11. Ahmed M. 5. Bergstedt O. 18. Carlsson J. 14. Hansen A. 30. Karo A. (G) 25. Koroma R. 12. Nyman L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Nilsson King E. ⚽,
44', Gustafsson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Drugge J. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
46', Saeed A. ↓, Hansen A. ↑,
67', Bark A. ↓, Miguel W. ↑,
67', Alvers O. ↓, Kack Ofordu K. ↑,
73', Yemane Y. ↓, Bergstedt O. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Gustafsson K. ⚽,
83', Antholm I. ↓, Koroma R. ↑,
83', Butros M. ↓, Nyman L. ↑,
85', Miguel W. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Miguel W. ⚽, Tagoe B. (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation: )).

Karlstad has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Arlanda shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Karlstad for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Karlstad has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 2.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Karlstad against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arlanda	28	15	6	7	50:35	15	51
7	Karlstad	28	12	8	8	42:31	11	44

Last Results with these Odds

Karlstad - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 51.19%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.10.26	Piteå - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Karlstad - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Enköping - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Karlstad - FBK Karlstad	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Stocksund - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTTTL
- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.10.26	Vasalund - Arlanda	1:4 ✺
27.09.26	Arlanda - Enköping	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Arlanda - Hammarby TFF	4:2 ✺
16.09.26	Gefle - Arlanda	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Karlberg - Arlanda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.06.26	Arlanda - Karlstad	1:0
01.11.25	Arlanda - Karlstad	3:5
29.05.25	Karlstad - Arlanda	3:0

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