Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Armagh City		Harland & Wolff Welders

	1	X	2
	7.1	5.3	1.31
	12.13	8.46	1.11
	5.72	4.69	1.45	Watch
	20	8	1.07
	21	8	1.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.19 ↑ (5.72)	6.89 ↑ (4.69)	1.2 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armagh City
7.2%

Draw
13.8%

Harland & Wolff Welders
79%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

19.8%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

19%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armagh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Armagh City's form might have worsened.

Harland & Wolff Welders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harland & Wolff Welders's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Armagh City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harland & Wolff Welders than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harland & Wolff Welders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Armagh City - Harland & Wolff Welders Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Armagh (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Armagh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

Armagh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

H&W Welders has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, H&W Welders is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Armagh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Armagh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
22.11.25	Annagh United - Armagh City	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Armagh City - Warrenpoint Town	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Armagh City - Ards	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
04.11.25	Coleraine - Armagh City	7:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
01.11.25	Institute FC - Armagh City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- Harland & Wolff Welders
Northern Irish Championship
22.11.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	1:4 ✺
08.11.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Loughgall	1:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
05.11.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Linfield	3:6 ET ✺
Northern Irish Championship
01.11.25	Newington - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
09.08.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Armagh City	3:0
11.01.25	Armagh City - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:3
16.11.24	Armagh City - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:0
14.09.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Armagh City	5:0
Northern Irish League Cup
05.08.17	Harland & Wolff Welders - Armagh City	3:0

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