Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 23

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday


	Armagh City		Ards

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.55	1.95
	3.35	3.61	1.95	Watch
	3.1	3.3	1.95
	3.41	3.42	1.94
	3.33	3.33	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 (3.31)	3.44 ↓ (3.8)	1.95 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armagh City
27.3%

Draw
26.3%

Ards
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

24.2%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

23.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armagh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Armagh City - Ards Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ards (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
2nd Half (0 - 4)

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ards is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Armagh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Armagh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
26.12.25	Loughgall - Armagh City	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Armagh City - Ballinamallard United	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Limavady United - Armagh City	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Dundela - Armagh City	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Armagh City - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LLLWW
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
26.12.25	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dundela - Ards	1:4 ✺
06.12.25	Ards - Loughgall	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Annagh United - Ards	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Limavady United - Ards	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
08.11.25	Armagh City - Ards	1:0
20.09.25	Ards - Armagh City	2:1
18.01.25	Ards - Armagh City	4:2
26.10.24	Ards - Armagh City	3:1

Armagh City - Ards: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide