Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 21

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Milltown (Warrenpoint)


	Warrenpoint Town		Loughgall

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.25	2.58
	2.42	3.26	2.5
	2.51	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.49	3.22	2.5
	2.42	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.7)	3.33 ↓ (3.47)	2.53 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrenpoint Town
36.8%

Draw
27.3%

Loughgall
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.8%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrenpoint Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warrenpoint Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Loughgall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Warrenpoint Town - Loughgall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 2.

Warrenpoint Town is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Loughgall has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Loughgall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrenpoint Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
13.12.25	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	0:4 ✺
29.11.25	Warrenpoint Town - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Armagh City - Warrenpoint Town	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Warrenpoint Town - Institute FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLWW
- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Championship
13.12.25	Loughgall - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Ards - Loughgall	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Loughgall - Dundela	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Loughgall - Limavady United	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Loughgall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
11.10.25	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	1:1
22.04.23	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	1:2
14.02.23	Warrenpoint Town - Loughgall	1:3
13.08.22	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	2:0
Northern Irish League Cup
13.10.21	Warrenpoint Town - Loughgall	1:0
Northern Irish Cup
08.05.21	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	1:0

Warrenpoint Town - Loughgall: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide