Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 8
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	Sportklub 8
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 8
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Arminia Bielefeld		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.6
	2	3.6	3.3
	1.95	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.97	3.8	3.72
	1.94	3.73	3.55	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.1
	1.97	3.64	3.33
	1.95	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2)	3.63 ↓ (3.69)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
47.6%

Draw
25.6%

Ingolstadt
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

25.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Arminia Bielefeld - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 19. Grosser M. 23. Schneider L. 4. Oppie L. 21. Russo S. 38. Worl M. 6. Corboz M. (C) 30. Young I. 7. Kania J. 22. Schroers M.	1. Funk M. (G) 43. Keidel F. 19. Cvjetinovic M. 32. Lorenz S. 6. Guwara L. 29. Kopacz D. 34. Frode L. (C) 14. Plath M. 8. Kanuric B. 11. Gronning S. 38. Zeitler D.
Substitutes
5. Belkahia S. 17. Biankadi M. 10. Boujellab N. 2. Hagmann F. 13. Kunze L. 25. Mizuta K. 45. Nsumbu D. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 8. Schreck S.	7. Borkowski D. 3. Decker E. 5. Gul E. 9. Heike T. 4. Lechner L. 39. Ozturk B. 35. Pestel K. 33. Sekulovic D. 41. Simoni S. (G)
Coaches
Kniat M.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Guwara L. ↓, Decker E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Young I. 🟨,
65', Worl M. 🟨,
68', Keidel F. 🟨,
70', Decker E. 🟨,
70', Corboz M. 🟨,
73', Schroers M. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Oppie L. ⚽,
81', Zeitler D. ↓, Heike T. ↑,
81', Kanuric B. ↓, Borkowski D. ↑,
85', Young I. ↓, Kunze L. ↑,
86', Kania J. 🟨,
88', Russo S. 🟨,
90+1', Worl M. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1.

Recent matches Arminia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ingolstadt is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arminia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Arminia: Felix J. (Injury)

There will not play in Ingolstadt: Dittgen M. (Surgery) Heike T. (Calf Injury) Hoppe M. (Knee Injury) Malone R. (Knee Injury) Seiffert M. (Muscle Injury) Testroet P. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Arminia: Becker A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sarenren Bazee N. J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ingolstadt: Besuschkow M. (Calf Injury) Deichmann Y. (Ankle Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.5:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
23.11.24	Hansa Rostock - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Union Berlin	2:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTWT
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
24.11.24	Ingolstadt - Osnabrück	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Augsburg - Ingolstadt	7:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
10.11.24	Hannover II - Ingolstadt	0:4 ✺
02.11.24	Ingolstadt - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
05.04.24	Ingolstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
28.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Ingolstadt	4:0
German 2 Bundesliga
21.04.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Ingolstadt	1:3
11.11.18	Ingolstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
08.04.18	Ingolstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2
27.10.17	Arminia Bielefeld - Ingolstadt	1:3
21.02.14	Arminia Bielefeld - Ingolstadt	0:2

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