Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 13

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	Sportklub
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Ingolstadt		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.75	2.3
	2.65	3.6	2.35
	2.65	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.84	2.42
	2.65	3.74	2.38	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.3
	2.63	3.68	2.29	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.08)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	2.36 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
35.3%

Draw
25.3%

Dynamo Dresden
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

26.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ingolstadt's performance.

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ingolstadt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Ingolstadt - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Funk M. (G) 22. Costly M. 19. Cvjetinovic M. 32. Lorenz S. 43. Keidel F. 20. Deichmann Y. 34. Frode L. (C) 17. Besuschkow M. 29. Kopacz D. 38. Zeitler D. 11. Gronning S.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 15. Kammerknecht C. 29. Boeder L. 28. Risch S. 5. Sapina V. (C) 17. Casar A. 25. Oehmichen J. 10. Lemmer J. 33. Daferner C. 7. Batista Meier O.
Substitutes
7. Borkowski D. 3. Decker E. 18. Duhring M. N. . Ham M. 8. Kanuric B. . Ozden M. . Ozturk B. 14. Plath M. 41. Simoni S. (G)	6. Berger T. 34. Bogdanov D. 23. Bunning L. 16. Heise P. 39. Kubatta D. 14. Lehmann P. 26. Marx J. H. 21. Meissner R. 37. Mesenholer D. (G)
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Casar A. 🟨,
18', Frode L. 🟨,
30', Risch S. 🟨,
42', Kammerknecht C. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Besuschkow M. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Daferner C. ↓, Meissner R. ↑,
46', Kammerknecht C. ↓, Bunning L. ↑,
52', Sapina V. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Oehmichen J. ⚽,
65', Risch S. ↓, Heise P. ↑,
65', Sterner J. ↓, Marx J. H. ↑,
69', Deichmann Y. ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
69', Zeitler D. ↓, Borkowski D. ↑,
75', Kopacz D. ↓, Plath M. ↑,
81', Heise P. 🟨,
86', Casar A. ↓, Berger T. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', Costly M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 2.

Ingolstadt is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo Dresden is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dynamo Dresden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ingolstadt: Guwara L. (Injury) Malone R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Park K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ingolstadt: Heike T. (Calf Injury) Hoppe M. (Knee Injury) Seiffert M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	5:3 ✺
22.10.24	Viktoria Köln - Ingolstadt	4:4 ✺
19.10.24	Ingolstadt - Verl	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Alemannia Aachen - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Ingolstadt - Hansa Rostock	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTTW
- Dynamo Dresden
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	2:3 ET ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Dynamo Dresden - Hannover II	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Dynamo Dresden	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Dynamo Dresden - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:3 ✺
04.10.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
04.02.24	Ingolstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:1
02.09.23	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	2:0
20.03.23	Ingolstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:3
17.09.22	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
18.12.21	Ingolstadt - Dynamo Dresden	3:0
24.07.21	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	3:0
German 3 Bundesliga
27.02.21	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	4:0

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