Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Arminia Bielefeld		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.8	3.75
	2	3.73	3.53	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.99	3.65	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.92)	3.62 ↓ (3.65)	3.59 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
47.8%

Draw
26%

Nürnberg
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.30) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 5. Bauer M. 19. Grosser M. 29. Handwerker T. 6. Corboz M. (C) 21. Russo S. 22. Rochelt J. 11. Grodowski J. 7. Telalovic S. 27. Boakye B.	1. Reichert J. (G) 8. Koudossou H. 4. Gruber F. (C) 24. Lochoshvili L. 21. Yilmaz B. 6. Markhiev A. 25. Becker F. O. 10. Justvan J. 20. Fernandez J. 33. Grimaldi A. 23. Zoma M. A.
Substitutes
2. Hagmann F. 14. Momuluh T. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 23. Schneider L. 8. Schreck S. 28. Uldrikis R. 38. Worl M. 30. Young I.	5. Baack T. 18. Lubach R. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 44. Mkrtchyan S. 22. Nzingoula R. 41. Porstner E. 39. Scobel P. 16. Soldic M. 27. von der Hitz J.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Zoma M. A. ⚽, Markhiev A. (A),
25', Zoma M. A. ↓, Lubach R. ↑,
35', Fernandez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lannert C. ↓, Worl M. ↑,
46', Telalovic S. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
46', Grimaldi A. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,
59', Boakye B. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
59', Justvan J. ↓, Baack T. ↑,
67', Grodowski J. ↓, Momuluh T. ↑,
70', Becker F. O. ↓, Porstner E. ↑,
70', Fernandez J. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
78', Corboz M. ↓, Young I. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Handwerker T. ⚽,
90+2', Russo S. 🟨,
90+2', Bauer M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Arminia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arminia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Arminia: Felix J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nürnberg: Mathenia C. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Nurnberg: 9.86% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	7	5	2	0	20:10	10	17
9	Arminia Bielefeld	7	2	2	3	11:12	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Arminia Bielefeld - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.7%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
10.04.26	Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Braunschweig	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Elversberg - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLT
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
11.04.26	Nürnberg - Dynamo Dresden	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Nürnberg - Kaiserslautern	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.25	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0
17.03.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg	2:2
09.09.22	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0
06.06.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg	1:1
10.11.19	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:5
09.03.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg	1:0
30.09.17	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2

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