Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Arminia Bielefeld		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.5	Watch
	2.10	3.70	3.20
	1.92	3.6	3.35	Watch
	2.01	3.91	3.67
	1.97	3.85	3.5	Watch
	1.97	3.9	3.65
	2	3.84	3.42	Watch
	1.96	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2)	3.79 ↑ (3.78)	3.46 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
47.8%

Draw
24.9%

Heidenheim
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

24.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

24.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 7. Koudossou H. 5. Bauer M. (C) 19. Grosser M. 29. Handwerker T. 21. Russo S. 14. Momuluh M. 10. Rochelt J. 38. Worl M. 11. Grodowski J. 9. Min D.	33. Dahne T. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 27. Heule M. 8. Hennrich P. 3. Schoppner J. 16. Niehues J. 10. Conteh C. 18. Vogt A. 11. Zivzivadze B.
Substitutes
27. Boakye B. 3. Felix J. 2. Hagmann F. 31. Jensen L. 6. Mehlem M. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 17. Sicker A. 42. Wegener T. 30. Young I.	1. Feller F. (G) 17. Honsak M. 29. Kaufmann M. 20. Kerber L. 22. Mhamdi O. 23. Paqarada L. 4. Siersleben T. 38. Wagner Y. 41. Zrilic M.
Coaches
Kirch O.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Grodowski J. ⚽,
20', Hennrich P. 🟨,
24', Mainka P. 🟨,
28', Bauer M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Zivzivadze B. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 2, Hennrich P. ⚽, Busch M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rochelt J. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
46', Koudossou H. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
55', 2 - 2, Hagmann F. ⚽, Jensen L. (A),
59', Grodowski J. 🟨,
59', Schoppner J. 🟨,
64', Momuluh M. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
64', Min D. ↓, Young I. ↑,
70', Conteh C. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
71', Vogt A. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
76', Grosser M. 🟨,
77', Hennrich P. ↓, Wagner Y. ↑,
85', Niehues J. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
86', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Mhamdi O. ↑,
88', Kerber L. 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Arminia (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Heidenheim have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Heidenheim may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Arminia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Arminia: Richter D. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Heidenheim: Breunig M. (Inactive) Conteh S. (Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Arminia has recorded 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:17 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arminia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.1:0.7 per game).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Heidenheim: 7.36% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Heidenheim	7	4	2	1	14:12	2	14
9	Arminia Bielefeld	7	2	2	3	11:12	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
11.09.26	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.08.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.26	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Heidenheim - Dynamo Dresden	5:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Jeddeloh - Heidenheim	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.26	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
26.02.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim	0:1
21.08.22	Heidenheim - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
28.06.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim	3:0
14.12.19	Heidenheim - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0
22.12.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim	1:2
05.08.18	Heidenheim - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
04.03.18	Heidenheim - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2

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