Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 16

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Arroyo		Montijo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.37
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.7	3.08	2.4
	2.72	3.1	2.39
	2.6	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.42)	3.04 ↑ (2.99)	2.47 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arroyo
33.8%

Draw
29.7%

Montijo
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montijo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arroyo - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, Garcia Martinez J. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Arroyo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montijo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arroyo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.12.24	Villafranca - Arroyo	4:0 ✺
07.12.24	Arroyo - Moralo	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Diocesano - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Arroyo - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Arroyo - Trujillo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTLL
- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.12.24	Montijo - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
08.12.24	Olivenza - Montijo	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Montijo - Jerez	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Santa Amalia - Montijo	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Montijo - Calamonte	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLL

Arroyo - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide