Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday
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Montijo |
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Jerez |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.08 |
3.05 |
3.25 |
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 |
2.42 |
2.92 |
3.03 |
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2.27 |
3.27 |
2.99 |
 Watch |
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2.35 |
2.88 |
3.05 |
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2.33 |
2.85 |
3.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(1.92) |
2.99 ↓
(3.32) |
3.08 ↓
(3.53) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montijo
39.9% | Draw
30.5% | Jerez
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montijo's form might have worsened.Jerez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montijo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-4.4%)Montijo - Jerez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).Montijo has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Jerez is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Montijo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Montijo will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Montijo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
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| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Jerez - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 25.61%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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