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Current Win Probability
Arsenal 2 Tula 33.8%
Draw 28.1%
Oryol 38.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.7%
28.4%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
28.8%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal 2 Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Oryol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Arsenal 2 Tula - Oryol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Isaev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Arsenal 2 Tula (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Oryol has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Oryol could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal 2 Tula has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:16 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arsenal 2 Tula against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).
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