The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zenit Penza 56.9%
Draw 20.3%
Arsenal 2 Tula 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
21.3%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
20.4%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
The chances for Arsenal 2 Tula have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (-1%)
Zenit Penza - Arsenal 2 Tula Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 12th and 15th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 2.
In recent outings, Zenit Penza has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arsenal 2 Tula has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Zenit Penza is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Zenit Penza has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:12 (averaging 1.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zenit Penza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:9 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).