Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 28

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Arsenal 2 Tula		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.28	2.77
	2.36	3.41	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.31)	3.35 ↑ (3.28)	2.77 (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal 2 Tula
39.3%

Draw
27.5%

Rodina Moscow 3
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal 2 Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Rodina Moscow 3 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Rodina Moscow 3 aligns with the current prediction.

Arsenal 2 Tula - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Sidorov E. (G) 57. Demchenko Y. 68. Faleev V. 47. Gigolaev D. 53. Grigoriev D. 79. Izotov R. (C) 20. Khabibov A. 91. Knyazev E. 56. Kolyshev A. 69. Kozin M. 48. Lychagin A.	35. Tarasov R. (G) 19. Andreev A. 11. Belkovskiy M. 62. Berzegov R. 39. Kamyshenko A. 85. Makarov I. 27. Petukhov I. 71. Postnikov N. 90. Sharapov T. 5. Terekhov A. 96. Vysochenko M.
Substitutes
38. Badin G. 61. Belyanin A. 80. Ermoshin N. 92. Isaev A. 35. Kholin M. (G) 66. Kim T. 37. Panov G. 75. Sergejev M.	21. Belokhonov A. 3. Kolobov E. 10. Kriulskiy A. 99. Shchepin V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Lychagin A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Kolyshev A. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Gigolaev D. 🟨,
55', Makarov I. ↓, Kriulskiy A. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Kozin M. ⚽,
58', Tarasov R. 🟨,
64', Sidorov E. 🟨,
70', Demchenko Y. ↓, Kim T. ↑,
72', Vysochenko M. ↓, Belokhonov A. ↑,
81', Petukhov I. ↓, Kolobov E. ↑,
88', Kozin M. ↓, Ermoshin N. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

Arsenal 2 Tula is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodina M's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rodina M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsenal 2 Tula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
11.10.25	Ryazan - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Oryol - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kvant Obninsk	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Dynamo Bryansk - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWLW
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
11.10.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 3	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Rotor 2	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Zenit Penza - Rodina Moscow 3	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Salyut Belgorod	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
28.06.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1

Arsenal 2 Tula - Rodina Moscow 3