The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zenit Penza 19.4%
Draw 23.1%
Rodina Moscow 3 57.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.3%
21.4%
56.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
20.7%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Rodina Moscow 3 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Zenit Penza - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Atamanskiy I. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 8th).
Zenit Penza is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Rodina 3 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Rodina 3 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Rodina 3 is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Zenit Penza has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:11 (averaging 1.3:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zenit Penza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
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