Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Central Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.25	3.05	3.55
	2.26	3	3.3
	2.31	3.05	3.68
	2.2	3.13	3.5	Watch
	2.24	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.62)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	3.44 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
41.8%

Draw
30.9%

Central Córdoba
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

32.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

35.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.

Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.2%	28.6%	10.2%

Arsenal Sarandí - Central Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 30 - 61.2%). Central Córdoba will win (votes: 5 - 10.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal Sarandí: 47.6% – 74.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 25 (37.75%), has project points - 28, has currently - 24, has not chance of win league.

Central Córdoba has the most likely position - 12 (10.86%), has project points - 36, has currently - 31, has not chance of win league.

Arsenal Sarandí is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Central Córdoba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Central Córdoba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arsenal Sarandí will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Gariglio I. (Injury) Perez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Laba M. (Injury) Leguizamon N. (Injury) Lopez R. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.10.22	Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Independiente	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
19.09.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Aldosivi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLW
- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.10.22	Central Córdoba - Newells Old Boys	0:3 ✺
05.10.22	Independiente - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Central Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0 ✺
26.09.22	Aldosivi - Central Córdoba	0:3 ✺
20.09.22	Central Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.04.22	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	3:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.11.21	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	5:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Central Córdoba	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.19	Arsenal Sarandí - Central Córdoba	2:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.19	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1

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