Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Sarmiento de Junín		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.1
	1.9	3.2	4.7
	1.99	3.32	4.35
	1.9	3.35	4.3	Watch
	1.96	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	4.34 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
48.8%

Draw
29.4%

Arsenal Sarandí
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.2%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarmiento: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 21 and 27).

Sarmiento de Junín has the most likely position - 23 (5.94%), project points - 33, currently - 12, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (22.1%), project points - 26, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento de Junín won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Sarmiento de Junín is a favorite.

There will not play in Sarmiento de Junín: Arismendi Y. (Injury) Mauri J. (Injury) Paradela F. (Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Gariglio I. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sarmiento de Junín won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento de Junín won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.23	Tigre - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
03.04.23	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Racing - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTLL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Godoy Cruz	2:3 ✺
07.04.23	Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
03.04.23	Central Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.09.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0
30.10.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.19	Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1
14.11.18	Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.08.16	Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
22.02.16	Arsenal Sarandí - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
18.04.15	Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0

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