Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TV Publica


	Unión Santa Fe		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.15	3.1	3.75
	2.12	3.05	3.55
	2.26	3	3.88
	2.15	3.1	3.66	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)	3.05 ↑ (3)	3.68 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
43.7%

Draw
30.8%

Arsenal Sarandí
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

31%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	31.8%	31.8%

Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 16.3% – 56.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Unión Santa Fe has the most likely position - 19 (8.58%), has project points - 34, has currently - 27, has not chance of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Santa Fe won 2.

Unión Santa Fe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión Santa Fe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Unión Santa Fe will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Unión Santa Fe: Alvez J. (Injury) Nardoni J. (Suspended)

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Gariglio I. (Injury) Perez D. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Unión Santa Fe won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Santa Fe won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.10.22	Rosario Central - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
30.09.22	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
25.09.22	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
19.09.22	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	0:1 ✺
13.09.22	Platense - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLLL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.10.22	Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Independiente	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
19.09.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Aldosivi	3:0 ✺
15.09.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.11.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Unión Santa Fe	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.11.20	Arsenal Sarandí - Unión Santa Fe	2:3
01.11.20	Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
15.03.20	Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.19	Arsenal Sarandí - Unión Santa Fe	4:1
09.02.18	Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
20.05.17	Unión Santa Fe - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1

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