Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 27

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Jerez J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.7	2.6
	3	2.6	2.6
	3.2	2.6	2.6
	3.17	2.61	2.91
	3.36	2.59	2.62	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.5
	3.22	2.71	2.51
	3.1	2.7	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.73)	2.65 ↓ (2.69)	2.62 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
29.3%

Draw
35.1%

Estudiantes de Caseros
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

34.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

34.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	77.8%	0%

Arsenal Sarandí - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Amaya A. 2. Sosa A. 6. Alvarez A. 3. Cabrera I. 8. Lucero M. 5. Domingo N. (C) 10. Rios L. 7. Sabatini I. 9. Maziero A. 11. Frascone N.	1. Budino M. (G) 4. Del Col M. 2. Ledesma D. (C) 6. Benitez J. 3. Lusnig L. 8. Miranda F. 5. Lugo M. 10. Bacas T. 7. Rodriguez R. 9. Acosta M. 11. Beron J.
Substitutes
13. Bernardi B. 16. Brestt F. 20. Guzman L. 19. Ledesma J. 14. Ortiz T. 18. Pavia K. 17. Serrano V. 12. Zozaya J. (G)	12. Amade L. (G) 16. Contreras E. 20. Fagundez F. 14. Fernandez N. 19. Luna E. 15. Mayorga S. 17. Ovando L. 13. Perales V. 18. Vallejos I.
Coaches
Bianco J.	Otta W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Miranda F. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Rios L. ⚽,
45', Domingo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Miranda F. ↓, Vallejos I. ↑,
56', Rios L. ↓, Ortiz T. ↑,
57', Lucero M. ↓, Brestt F. ↑,
60', Rodriguez R. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
69', Cabrera I. 🟨,
69', Sabatini I. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
69', Bacas T. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
69', Beron J. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
69', Frascone N. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
71', Serrano V. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Acosta M. (Pen),
84', Maziero A. ↓, Ledesma J. ↑,
86', Acosta M. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
90+1', Ledesma D. 🟨,
90+4', Sosa A. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	San Miguel - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
14.07.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTLTL
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Martín de Tucumán	1:3 ✺
27.07.24	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Club Almagro - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
Copa Argentina
28.08.19	Arsenal Sarandí - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:3

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