Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)

Referee: Ejarque E. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Maipú		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.25	6.25
	1.62	3.4	6
	1.66	3.52	6.74
	1.62	3.39	6.56	Watch
	1.6	3.3	6
	1.59	3.4	6.27
	1.62	3.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)	6.2 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
57.6%

Draw
27.3%

Arsenal Sarandí
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.3%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Maipú (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Deportivo Maipú will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Paredes L. 2. Arnijas L. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. Ozuna E. 8. Mansilla G. 5. Villarreal M. 7. Viguet M. 10. Eggel M. 9. Bonacci P. 11. Yavante Gaitan D.	1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Purita E. 2. Sosa A. 6. Caceres R. 3. Cocca M. 8. Trombini M. 5. Vila J. 10. Fernandez E. 11. Frascone N. 7. Bordagaray F. 9. Klusener G.
Substitutes
16. Bonfigli M. 15. Cruz A. 12. Galardi N. (G) 14. Paulini S. 17. Ramirez D. 19. Saccone F. 20. Sandoval I. 18. Silva T. 13. Vallejo L.	14. Cabrera I. 15. Colletta T. 19. Echevarria F. 16. Lucero M. 12. Mekbel F. (G) 17. Rius C. 18. Sabatini I. 20. Serrano V. 13. Vera M.
Coaches
Sara J.	Franco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Viguet M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cocca M. ↓, Cabrera I. ↑,
46', Frascone N. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Bordagaray F. ⚽,
63', Eggel M. ↓, Bonfigli M. ↑,
63', Yavante Gaitan D. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
67', Serrano V. 🟨,
69', Klusener G. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
72', Mansilla G. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
73', Purita E. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
76', Caceres R. 🟨,
80', Serrano V. 🟨,
82', Villarreal M. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
84', Bordagaray F. ↓, Rius C. ↑,
84', Sabatini I. 🟨,
89', Sosa A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Deportivo Maipú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Arsenal Sarandí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Maipú is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.05.25	All Boys - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo Maipú - Alvarado	3:0 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Los Andes - Deportivo Maipú	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTLW
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Tristán Suárez - Arsenal Sarandí	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Güemes - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.07.24	Deportivo Maipú - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
18.02.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú	2:0

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