Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 1

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	3	2.7	2.4
	3.2	2.75	2.5
	3.2	2.8	2.65
	3.36	2.73	2.71
	3.13	2.94	2.52
	3.15	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (4.42)	2.79 ↓ (3.16)	2.55 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
29.5%

Draw
33.6%

Instituto Córdoba
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

29.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

29.4%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Instituto Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Instituto Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Medina A. (C) 24. Lucero D. 25. Breitenbruch N. 19. Centurion M. 13. Pombo J. 5. Sporle A. 8. Rivero B. 18. Muscia G. 10. Toloza S. 9. Londono F. 7. Pons F.	28. Roffo M. (G) 2. Franco J. 24. Parnisiari E. 6. Alarcon F. R. 15. Rodriguez L. 8. Graciani G. 5. Bochi R. 16. Aued L. 19. Lodico G. A. 9. Adrian Martinez 10. Watson F.
Substitutes
37. Alvarez A. 36. Amarilla A. 11. Brochero L. 30. Cardozo F. 33. Cavallaro J. 27. Cejas J. 2. Gariglio I. 22. Guzman L. 3. Marchi L. 28. Moreira L. 1. Sultani T. (G) 15. Vega F.	1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Cerato G. 3. Corda S. 20. Cuello B. 25. Garrido O. 14. Linares N. 22. Puebla D. 31. Requena G. 29. Rodriguez A. 7. Rodriguez G. 11. Rodriguez S. 32. Romero M.
Coaches
Vilar F.	Dabove D.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Arsenal Sarandí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Barracas Central - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
17.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Banfield - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
06.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLTL
- Instituto Córdoba
Copa Argentina
09.08.23	Instituto Córdoba - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.23	Godoy Cruz - Instituto Córdoba	4:2 ✺
25.07.23	Instituto Córdoba - Lanús	2:1 ✺
17.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Instituto Córdoba - Tigre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba	0:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.09.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Instituto Córdoba	1:2

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