The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Sarandí 49.3%
Draw 31.4%
Sportivo Italiano 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
31.8%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
30.1%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
0%
10%
Arsenal Sarandí - Sportivo Italiano Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Arsenal Sarandí will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 6. Cabrera I. 5. Colletta T. (C) 4. Del Col M. 9. Franco L. 3. Goncebat J. 11. La Roza U. 8. Lucero M. 2. Payes A. 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M.
1. Yordan G. (G) 13. Di Massimo F. 2. Durante P. 3. Fantino L. 7. Gimenez K. 10. Gomez F. 16. Guerra A. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 5. Rivero J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Gomez F. ⚽,
25', Payes A. 🟥,
30', Gimenez K. 🟨,
39', Gomez F. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Guzman M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', La Roza U. ↓, Cabrera I. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Sosa M. ⚽,
49', Bifiguer C. 🟨,
54', 1 - 3, Gomez F. ⚽,
62', Goncebat J. ↓, Schiavulli T. ↑,
62', Gimenez K. ↓, Daivez A. ↑,
62', Gomez F. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
69', Lucero M. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
71', Laborda L. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
73', Trombini M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
74', Franco L. ↓, Kestler I. ↑,
79', 🟨,
79', Guerra A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
79', Fantino L. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
90', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Arsenal Sarandí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Arsenal Sarandí is a strong favorite.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Arsenal Sarandi
38
19
12
7
50:25
25
69
4
Sportivo Italiano
38
18
11
9
45:28
17
65
Last Results with these Odds
Sportivo Italiano - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 21.76%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.