Match Info

Primera B - Round 29

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Brown de Adrogué		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	3.00	2.95	2.20
	2.98	2.98	2.3
	3.1	3.04	2.39
	3.18	2.97	2.26	Watch
	2.85	3	2.35
	2.97	2.96	2.35
	2.95	2.95	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.25)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)	2.31 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
30.2%

Draw
30.5%

Excursionistas
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30.3%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

29.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Brown de Adrogué - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G) 6. Aguirre C. 9. Baez B. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 11. Guerrero B. 3. Ortiz A. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. 8. Silva J. 10. Sproat M. (C)	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 8. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 10. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Maizarez I. 7. Paulides A. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 11. Tellas G. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
15. Castano A. 18. Ferrario F. 16. Galeano V. 12. Giovini S. (G) 14. Gonzalez A. 17. Gonzalez L. 19. Lopez B. 20. Meaurio N. 13. Pieres M.	16. Arbello I. 17. Avalos A. 18. Blanco M. 12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 15. Chambi L. 20. Gimenez W. 13. Ledesma D. 14. Rodriguez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Baez B. ↓, Meaurio N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Guerrero B. ⚽,
57', Alaniz M. ↓, Avalos A. ↑,
57', Polvera M. ↓, Blanco M. ↑,
58', Zoratti G. ↓, Chambi L. ↑,
64', Tellas G. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
66', Silva J. ↓, Ferrario F. ↑,
66', Sproat M. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
73', Paulides A. ↓, Arbello I. ↑,
75', Guerrero B. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
75', Baldunciel L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
84', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Excursionistas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

Brown de Adrogué - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.51%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Excursionistas - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.18%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
31.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Brown de Adrogué - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
14.07.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	Brown de Adrogué - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLLT
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
31.07.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Deportivo Flandria - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
14.07.26	Defensores Unidos - Excursionistas	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Excursionistas - Comunicaciones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
28.03.26	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
09.07.25	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	0:2
18.02.25	Brown de Adrogué - Excursionistas	2:0

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