Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 21

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Platense

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.88	Watch
	2.75	2.85	2.75
	2.85	2.85	2.8
	2.95	2.88	2.88
	2.88	2.88	2.7
	2.82	2.99	2.71	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.07)	2.87 ↓ (3.04)	2.78 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
33%

Draw
33%

Platense
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.8%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

30.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	26.7%	26.7%

Arsenal Sarandí - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Platense will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal Sarandí: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Medina A. (G) 4. Souto L. 25. Breitenbruch N. 19. Centurion M. 30. Cardozo F. 5. Sporle A. 22. Guzman L. 28. Pena Biafore F. 8. Rivero B. 10. Toloza S. 36. Londono F.	12. Macagno R. (G) 2. Lozano R. 13. Vazquez I. 6. Suso G. 3. Infante J. 18. Marcich S. 77. Martinez R. 33. Cacciabue J. 10. Taborda V. 11. Castro N. 20. Servetto N.
Substitutes
6. Banega T. 27. Brochero L. 31. Cabrera I. 2. Gariglio I. 9. Leal L. 24. Lucero D. 3. Marchi L. 18. Muscia G. 33. Paiva S. 21. Peinipil J. 1. Sultani T. (G) 11. Zarate T.	32. Baldassarra F. 8. Diaz F. 39. Monje A. P. 4. Morgantini N. 24. Pignani J. 9. Quiroga M. 15. Rossi I. 5. Sabella A. 1. Sanchez A. (G) 7. Schor I. 43. Zalazar M. 29. Zeineddin N.
Coaches
Vilar F.	Palermo M.

Preview

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (40.95%), project points - 25, currently - 17, not chance of win league.

Platense has the most likely position - 13 (9.11%), project points - 35, currently - 26, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Pombo J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Platense: Pellegrino M. (Injury) Valdivia G. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.06.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
01.06.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
26.05.23	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
18.05.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Independiente	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWLWL
- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.06.23	Platense - Tigre	1:0 ✺
02.06.23	Argentinos Juniors - Platense	1:0 ✺
27.05.23	Platense - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	River Plate - Platense	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Platense - Racing	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.07.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Platense	1:1
15.08.21	Platense - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.03.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Platense	0:0

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