Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 1 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Arsenal Sarandí		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	6	3.3	1.73	Watch
	5.25	3.2	1.77
	5.1	3.15	1.85
	5.73	3.28	1.79
	5.25	3.2	1.75
	5.3	3.4	1.74	Watch
	5.2	3.25	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↓ (5.58)	3.25 ↓ (3.6)	1.77 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
17.5%

Draw
29.1%

Boca Juniors
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

25.8%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

25.8%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	11.8%	70.6%

Arsenal Sarandí - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 55.3% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Medina A. (G) 4. Souto L. 25. Breitenbruch N. 13. Pombo J. 5. Sporle A. 28. Pena Biafore F. 18. Muscia G. 19. Centurion M. 10. Toloza S. 7. Pons F. 36. Londono F.	1. Romero S. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 25. Valdez B. 4. Figal J. 18. Fabra F. 17. Advincula L. 5. Varela A. 36. Medina C. 22. Villa S. 16. Miguel Merentiel 9. Benedetto D.
Substitutes
6. Banega T. 27. Brochero L. 30. Cardozo F. 77. Cuesta J. 2. Gariglio I. 22. Guzman L. 9. Leal L. 24. Lucero D. 3. Marchi L. 21. Peinipil J. 8. Rivero B. 1. Sultani T. (G)	29. Briasco N. 21. Fernandez I. 13. Garcia J. (G) 35. Genez N. 23. Gonzalez D. 41. Langoni L. 20. Ramirez J. 14. Rolon E. 10. Romero O. 2. Roncaglia F. 15. Valentini N. 38. Vazquez L.
Coaches
Vilar F.	Almiron J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 28 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Nacional and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (49.67%), project points - 23, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Boca Juniors has the most likely position - 6 (12.57%), project points - 42, currently - 27, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0.

Arsenal Sarandí is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arsenal Sarandí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Paiva S. (Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Roncaglia F. (Injury) Zeballos E. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.05.23	Atlético Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
18.05.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Independiente	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
02.05.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Mitre	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.05.23	Boca Juniors - Tigre	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Deportivo Pereira - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.23	Argentinos Juniors - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
14.05.23	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	River Plate - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.06.22	Boca Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.04.22	Boca Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.12.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Boca Juniors	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.12.20	Boca Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.11.19	Boca Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	5:1
03.12.17	Boca Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0
30.04.17	Boca Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0

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