Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Arsenal Sarandí		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.75
	4.5	3.6	1.78	Watch
	4.84	3.65	1.8
	4.76	3.6	1.83
	5.05	3.78	1.67
	4.5	3.55	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (3.05)	3.6 ↑ (3.02)	1.77 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
20.3%

Draw
26.3%

Rosario Central
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

31.4%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

31.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Arsenal Sarandí - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Rosario will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Medina A. (G) 26. Martinez F. 37. Alvarez A. 13. Pombo J. 31. Cabrera I. 8. Rivero B. 18. Muscia G. 11. Brochero L. 33. Cavallaro J. 20. Viveros E. 21. Peinipil J.	1. Broun J. (G) 6. Komar J. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 3. Sandez A. 16. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 30. O'Connor T. 45. Ortiz K. 10. Malcorra I. 13. Jaminton Campaz 11. Lovera M. 29. Dupuy L.
Substitutes
36. Amarilla A. 39. Brestt F. 14. Burruchaga M. 27. Cejas J. 15. Druille L. 22. Guzman L. 24. Maside L. 28. Moreira L. 16. Payes A. 2. Serrano V. 5. Sporle A. 1. Sultani T. (G)	31. Aguero F. 24. Bianchi O. 23. Bogado G. 17. Cicioli U. 18. Lo Celso F. 44. Modica A. 7. Montoya W. 39. Oviedo F. 14. Quinones D. 37. Silva K. 8. Toledo A. 20. Werner A. (G)
Coaches
Espinola D.	Russo M.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0.

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rosario is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Rosario is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.11.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
03.11.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Independiente - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
25.10.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LTTWT
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.11.23	Rosario Central - River Plate	3:1 ✺
06.11.23	Barracas Central - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors	3:1 ✺
24.10.23	Instituto Córdoba - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
19.10.23	Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.23	Rosario Central - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1
26.07.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Rosario Central	0:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.02.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Rosario Central	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.08.21	Rosario Central - Arsenal Sarandí	4:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.03.21	Rosario Central - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.20	Rosario Central - Arsenal Sarandí	3:1
05.05.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Rosario Central	4:0

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