Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 3
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Rosario Central		River Plate

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.75	Watch
	2.85	2.87	2.65
	2.82	2.82	2.82	Watch
	2.9	2.93	2.88
	2.68	2.97	2.92	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.75
	2.75	2.83	2.81	Watch
	2.71	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.71)	2.88 ↓ (2.9)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
33.9%

Draw
32.7%

River Plate
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

32.2%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Rosario Central - River Plate Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - River Plate (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 46. Ovando I. 33. Soto A. 16. Gimenez E. 5. Ibarra F. 20. Pizarro V. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 22. Copetti E. 9. Veliz A.	41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 17. Diaz P. 13. Rivero L. 15. Fausto Vera 6. Moreno A. 26. Galvan T. 10. Quintero J. (C) 11. Colidio F. 9. Driussi S.
Substitutes
1. Broun J. (G) 26. Cantizano G. 27. Duarte G. 18. Fernandez J. 36. Guich A. 44. Lescano P. 7. Lovera M. 31. Navarro F. 39. Oviedo F. 47. Raffin L. 3. Sandez A. 10. Segovia S.	21. Acuna M. 16. Bustos F. 22. Castano K. 23. Galarza M. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 31. Gonzalez F. 42. Jaroszewicz F. (G) 39. Lencina S. 5. Portillo J. 32. Ruberto A. 7. Salas M. 38. Subiabre I.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Pizarro V. 🟨,
28', Rivero L. 🟨,
44', Fausto Vera 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Driussi S. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
46', Copetti E. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
70', Galvan T. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
70', Rivero L. ↓, Acuna M. ↑,
70', Quintero J. ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
76', Salas M. 🟨,
77', Colidio F. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
79', Acuna M. 🟨,
88', Moreno A. 🟨,
89', Ibarra F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 1.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Inactive) Quintana C. (Broken ankle)

There will not play in River Plate: Acuna M. (Inactive) Armani F. (Inactive) Bustos F. (Inactive) Centurion E. (Injury) Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Meza M. (Foot Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Vina M. (Red Card)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.01.26	Racing - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Rosario Central - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Rosario Central - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Independiente - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.01.26	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Barracas Central - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate	0:1 penalties ✺
11.01.26	River Plate - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.25	Racing - River Plate	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.25	Rosario Central - River Plate	2:1
29.03.25	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:2
08.12.24	River Plate - Rosario Central	4:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.04.24	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:1
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
22.12.23	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.12.23	River Plate - Rosario Central	0:1 penalties
11.11.23	Rosario Central - River Plate	3:1

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