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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Sarandí 20.1%
Draw 32.9%
San Miguel 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
30.7%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
30.6%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.
San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
80%
20%
Arsenal Sarandí - San Miguel Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Miguel will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Amaya A. 2. Caceres R. 6. Cocca M. 3. Serrano V. 8. Lucero M. 5. Trombini M. 10. Fernandez E. 11. Batista A. 7. Gonzalez T. 9. Sabatini I.
1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Kippes A. (C) 2. Parnisari E. 6. Cardozo F. 3. Corda S. 5. Juarez J. 10. Dening E. 7. Antunes I. 8. Mosca C. 11. Salto C. 9. Nasta B.
Substitutes
20. Bordagaray F. 16. Duarte L. 12. Herrera F. (G) 17. Juarez A. 19. Klusener G. 14. Payes A. 15. Purita E. 18. Rius C. 13. Vila J.
19. Adin D. 16. D. Renteria 15. Ferrero J. 13. Grance I. 20. Lavezzi A. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 18. Rodriguez Trezza L. 17. Rojas M. 14. Sena F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Caceres R. ↓, Payes A. ↑,
26', Salto C. 🟨,
26', 🟨,
35', Payes A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Sabatini I. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Parnisari E. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
46', Nasta B. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Sabatini I. ⚽,
55', 3 - 0, Batista A. ⚽,
61', Salto C. ↓, Rodriguez Trezza L. ↑,
61', Mosca C. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
65', 4 - 0, Gonzalez T. ⚽,
70', Amaya A. ↓, Purita E. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Rodriguez Trezza L. ⚽,
76', 4 - 2, Lavezzi A. ⚽,
79', 5 - 2, Sabatini I. ⚽,
80', Payes A. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
80', Batista A. ↓, Rius C. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+4', Sena F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Arsenal Sarandí have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Miguel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
San Miguel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Arsenal Sarandí - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.89%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Pourtau J. (G) 
Juarez A. 
D. Renteria 
Rodriguez Trezza L. 
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