The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Maipú 35.5%
Draw 34.5%
San Miguel 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
30.6%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
31.2%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.
San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
87.5%
12.5%
Deportivo Maipú - San Miguel Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Paredes L. 2. Arnijas L. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. de la Reta J. 8. Mansilla G. 5. Villarreal M. (C) 10. Eggel M. 11. Ozuna E. 7. Silva T. 9. Bonacci P.
1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Kippes A. (C) 2. Parnisari E. 6. Cardozo F. 3. Corda S. 7. Antunes I. 8. Juarez J. 5. Cravero T. 11. Sosa D. 10. Dening E. 9. Lavezzi A.
Substitutes
20. Bonfigli M. 15. Campagnaro M. 16. Cruz A. 12. Galardi N. (G) 13. Paulini S. 17. Sanchez J. M. 18. Sandoval I. 14. Vallejo L. 19. Yavante Gaitan D.
14. Cazula A. 15. Ferrero J. 13. Grance I. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 20. Mosca C. 19. Nasta B. 18. Rojas M. 17. Salto C. 16. Sena F.
Coaches
Matteo A.
Coleoni G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Lavezzi A. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Bonacci P. 🟨,
54', Parnisari E. 🟨,
62', Juarez J. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
62', Sosa D. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
66', Silva T. ↓, Yavante Gaitan D. ↑,
75', Eggel M. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
76', de la Reta J. ↓, Campagnaro M. ↑,
77', Corda S. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
77', Dening E. ↓, Grance I. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Ferrero J. ⚽,
86', Mansilla G. ↓, Bonfigli M. ↑,
86', Ozuna E. ↓, Sanchez J. M. ↑,
90', Villarreal M. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.