Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 19

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	San Miguel		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.2	6	Watch
	1.68	3.1	5.75
				Watch
	1.74	3.22	6.36
				Watch
	1.65	3	6.5
	1.68	3.08	6.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)	3.12 ↑ (3.01)	6.15 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Miguel
55.1%

Draw
29.8%

Gimnasia y Tiro
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

30.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

29.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Miguel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: San Miguel will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Miguel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sappa D. (G) 7. Antunes I. 4. Kippes A. (C) 2. Parnisari E. 6. Cardozo F. 3. Corda S. 8. Juarez J. 5. Cravero T. 11. Sosa D. 9. Lavezzi A. 10. Dening E.	1. Abadia F. (G) 7. Galetto J. 2. Guanini M. 6. Diaz G. 3. Villarreal R. 5. Birge M. 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 10. Busse W. 11. Rinaldi N. 8. Rojas F. 9. Contin N.
Substitutes
14. Adin D. 15. Ferrero J. 13. Grance I. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 20. Mosca C. 19. Nasta B. 18. Rojas D. 17. Salto C. 16. Sena F.	16. Bravo G. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 17. Heredia F. 15. Keko 14. Montoya L. 18. Morello M. 20. Reynaga R. 19. Sivetti F. 13. Tallura A.
Coaches
Coleoni G.	Quiroz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Busse W. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
56', Galetto J. ↓, Bravo G. ↑,
58', Diaz G. 🟨,
60', Cardozo F. 🟨,
64', Sosa D. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
64', Lavezzi A. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
76', Rojas F. ↓, Keko ↑,
76', Contin N. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Dening E. ⚽,
87', Dening E. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
90+1', Villarreal R. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
90+2', Juarez J. ↓, Sena F. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

San Miguel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gimnasia y Tiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Miguel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, San Miguel is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.25	Tristán Suárez - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	San Martín de Tucumán - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	San Miguel - Güemes	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	Patronato Parana - San Miguel	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	San Miguel - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTLW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colegiales	4:0 ✺
09.05.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.02.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Miguel	1:0

Upcoming Matches