Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 6

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)


	Arsenal Tula		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.21	4.04
	2	3.25	3.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	3.97 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
46.8%

Draw
29.3%

Alania Vladikavkaz
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Levashov M. (G) 44. Berdnikov A. 31. Bolshakov K. 13. Kaynov M. 20. Khabibov A. 8. Popov A. 64. Semenchuk D. 21. Shevchenko E. 11. Tkachev S. (C) 22. Tsaraev A. 9. Turishchev M.	1. Soldatenko R. (G) 19. Butaev A. 14. Chimezie W. 7. Gurtsiev B. 77. Kokoev D. 27. Makarov S. 22. Moskalenchik I. 76. Nafikov V. 3. Pliev K. 2. Tataev A. 15. Tsallagov I. (C)
Substitutes
24. Azyavin I. 34. Dmitriev O. 10. Geloyan I. 60. Kashintsev T. (G) 23. Korotkov A. 77. Melnikov D. 88. Minaev R. 6. Pechenkin N. 5. Razdorskikh N. 90. Sugrobov V. (G) 28. Zhilkin G.	9. Abdokov N. 5. Bagaev A. 11. Chochiev A. 37. Gagloev T. 12. Gubiev E. 8. Khugaev A. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 6. Tarba Z. 13. Zaseev A.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Tazabaev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Pliev K. 🟨,
43', Tsallagov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Turishchev M. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
59', Kokoev D. ↓, Chochiev A. ↑,
59', Nafikov V. ↓, Tarba Z. ↑,
66', Khabibov A. ↓, Korotkov A. ↑,
66', Tkachev S. ↓, Geloyan I. ↑,
70', Tsaraev A. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
76', Moskalenchik I. ↓, Gubiev E. ↑,
77', Makarov S. ↓, Khugaev A. ↑,
79', Semenchuk D. 🟨,
80', Pliev K. 🟨,
81', Berdnikov A. ↓, Minaev R. ↑,
81', Gurtsiev B. ↓, Bagaev A. ↑,
87', Khugaev A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 9).

Arsenal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alania is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Arsenal have a series of home games.

Arsenal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
11.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
05.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
29.07.24	Rotor - Arsenal Tula	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Arsenal Tula - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Arsenal Tula - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWW
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
10.08.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
28.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
21.07.24	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
15.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Ufa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.04.24	Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:3
27.10.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Arsenal Tula	1:1
01.05.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Arsenal Tula	2:1
10.10.22	Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:2
Russian Cup
02.03.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Arsenal Tula	1:0

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