Match Info

Date: 17 January 2021, Sunday


	Arsenal Tula		Bačka Topola

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.2	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)	3.2 (3.2)	3.68 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
46.9%

Draw
28.4%

Bačka Topola
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

19%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Tula that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bačka Topola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Neutral location.

Arsenal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.

Arsenal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian Premier League
16.12.20	Rotor - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
11.12.20	Khimki - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Arsenal Tula - Zenit	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTL
- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
20.12.20	Javor Ivanjica - Bačka Topola	1:2 ✺
17.12.20	Inđija - Bačka Topola	0:3 ✺
11.12.20	Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica	1:3 ✺
29.11.20	Bačka Topola - Partizan	0:4 ✺
Serbian Cup
25.11.20	Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
09.10.26	Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma	✺
- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Prva Liga
11.10.26	Bor 1919 - Bačka Topola	✺

Arsenal Tula - Bačka Topola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide