Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Dynamo Moscow		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.43	4.4	7	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7
	1.39	4.5	7.2
	1.42	4.72	8.7
	1.38	4.33	8
	1.42	4.9	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)	4.57 ↑ (4.44)	7.86 ↑ (7.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Moscow
67.4%

Draw
20.6%

Arsenal Tula
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.1%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

12.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-28.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Dynamo M has the most likely position - 2 (19.6%), has project points - 51, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (24%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Arsenal has the most likely position - 16 (21.8%), has project points - 28, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dynamo M is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arsenal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dynamo M is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Dynamo M won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo M won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League
06.11.21	Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
29.10.21	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	4:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.10.21	Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
22.10.21	Dynamo Moscow - Khimki	4:1 ✺
16.10.21	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWT
- Arsenal Tula
Russian Premier League
06.11.21	Arsenal Tula - Ufa	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Arsenal Tula - Sochi	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
27.10.21	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
23.10.21	Rostov - Arsenal Tula	4:0 ✺
16.10.21	Arsenal Tula - Zenit	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
06.12.20	Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0
22.08.20	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Moscow	2:0
04.07.20	Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	0:1
12.07.19	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Moscow	1:1
26.05.19	Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	3:3
29.07.18	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Moscow	0:0
31.03.18	Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:1

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