Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.83	4.94	Watch
	1.56	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	3.97 ↓ (4.18)	4.97 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
59%

Draw
22.8%

Arsenal Tula
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitryushkin A. (G)
6. Barinov D. (C)
3. Lucas Fasson
24. Nenakhov M.
5. Nyamsi G.
27. Rakov V.
14. Saltykov N.
77. Samoshnikov I.
8. Sarveli V.
71. Tiknizyan N.
10. Vorobyov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Sarveli V. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Vorobyov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 3.

Lokomotiv is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arsenal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lokomotiv is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lokomotiv to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
25.05.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:3 ✺
18.05.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Fakel	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian Premier League
01.06.24	Arsenal Tula - Nizhny Novgorod	0:2 ✺
29.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
25.05.24	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Arsenal Tula - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
16.05.24	Leningradets - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
29.11.21	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:1
24.07.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula	3:1
08.03.21	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:3
21.11.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0
06.12.19	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	4:0
06.10.19	Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:1
04.05.19	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0

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