Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Arsenal Tula		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.6	1.69
	5.04	3.87	1.72
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	5.15	3.9	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↓ (5.5)	3.69 ↓ (3.84)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
19.4%

Draw
25.5%

Dynamo Moscow
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

25.6%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

21.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).

Arsenal has the most likely position - 14 (23.18%), has project points - 30, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dynamo M has the most likely position - 2 (38.79%), has project points - 55, has currently - 39, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of qualify for ucl (43%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has quality 41, importance 62, match rating 51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.

Recently Dynamo M have a series of home games.

In this match Dynamo M is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian Premier League
06.03.22	Krylya Sovetov - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.03.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
26.02.22	Sochi - Arsenal Tula	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.02.22	Arsenal Tula - Liepāja	2:2 ✺
12.02.22	Randers FC - Arsenal Tula	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLTW
- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League
06.03.22	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
01.03.22	Dynamo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
26.02.22	Khimki - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
17.02.22	Dynamo Moscow - Rubin Kazan	2:2 ✺
17.02.22	Dynamo Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
21.11.21	Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	5:1
06.12.20	Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0
22.08.20	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Moscow	2:0
04.07.20	Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	0:1
12.07.19	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Moscow	1:1
26.05.19	Dynamo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	3:3
29.07.18	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Moscow	0:0

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