Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 9

Date: 11 September 2023, Monday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)


	Arsenal Tula		Khimki

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.12	2.57
	2.76	3.24	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.02)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	2.47 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
33.6%

Draw
28.9%

Khimki
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.7%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

31.2%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Arsenal Tula - Khimki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Khimki will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Kokarev N. (G) 31. Bolshakov K. 13. Kaynov M. 73. Khabibov A. 24. Korotkov A. 88. Makarov A. 4. Nduka I. D. 5. Nizhegorodov K. 20. Okoronquo J. 8. Popov A. 77. Tkachev S. (C)	96. Obukhov I. (G) 17. Berkovskiy I. 2. Golubovic P. 4. Isaenko O. 80. Khosonov K. 11. Koryan A. 97. Magomedov B. 5. Stepanov D. 98. Terekhov S. (C) 67. Varatynov S. 20. Yakovlev V.
Substitutes
2. Bykovskiy I. 71. Denisov A. 70. Geloyan I. 84. Gerasimov D. (G) 9. Giraev K. 61. Golosov I. 7. Khalnazarov R. 36. Levashov M. (G) 83. Panteleev V. 11. Pomerko A. 18. Yakovlev M.	10. Arkhipov A. 77. Avetisyan P. 44. Burychenkov Y. (G) 66. Leo Andrade 6. Melentijevic S. 1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 21. Mokhammad A. 8. Panchenko K. 24. Poroykov S. 7. Sadygov I.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Talalaev A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Arsenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
04.09.23	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
21.08.23	KAMAZ - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
07.08.23	Arsenal Tula - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTLW
- FC Khimki
Russian FNL
02.09.23	Khimki - Kuban Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Khimki - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Sokol Saratov - Khimki	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Khimki - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Shinnik - Khimki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
05.12.21	Khimki - Arsenal Tula	1:2
Club Friendly
10.10.21	Khimki - Arsenal Tula	2:2
Russian Premier League
02.10.21	Arsenal Tula - Khimki	0:0
11.12.20	Khimki - Arsenal Tula	1:0
25.08.20	Arsenal Tula - Khimki	1:1
Club Friendly
23.06.15	Khimki - Arsenal Tula	0:2

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