Match Info

FNL - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Centralnyy (Novorossiysk)

Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)


	Chernomorets Novorossiysk		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.11	3.28
	2.2	3.08	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.15)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	3.42 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
41.5%

Draw
30.7%

Arsenal Tula
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Matyusha M. (G) 9. Aliev S. 2. Cherov V. 22. Gorelov P. 4. Kirsch I. 5. Krachkovskii A. 88. Masternoy V. 99. Morozov K. 18. Nikolaev O. 3. Pliev Z. 10. Zhigulev I.	18. Tsulaya M. (G) 77. Berdnikov A. 31. Bolshakov K. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 14. Brnovic M. 44. Isaenko O. 9. Kalmykov A. 78. Lipovoy D. 21. Razdorskikh N. 7. Reyes E. 22. Tsaraev A.
Substitutes
11. Gurchenko D. 31. Kasimov T. 44. Kukharchuk I. 25. Lozhkin V. 13. Puzanov S. 69. Rodionov I. 73. Shtepa M. (G) 89. Stotskiy D. 8. Tarba Z. 81. Tonevitskiy E. 77. Zarypbekov E. 17. Zhilkin G.	17. Ahlinvi M. 59. Avanesyan T. 24. Azyavin I. 19. Bogdanets K. 11. Djuranovic U. 10. Gorbunov I. 45. Karmaev N. 42. Melikhov A. (G) 46. Moskalenchik I. 8. Popov A. 15. Putsko A. 5. Sergeev D.
Coaches
Pervushin S.	Gunko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Nikolaev O. ⚽,
22', Razdorskikh N. 🟨,
28', Bolshakov K. 🟨,
38', Kalmykov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Avanesyan T. ↑,
46', Zhigulev I. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
46', Morozov K. ↓, Zarypbekov E. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
57', Gorelov P. ↓, Rodionov I. ↑,
61', Kalmykov A. ↓, Djuranovic U. ↑,
61', Brnovic M. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
62', Nikolaev O. ↓, Stotskiy D. ↑,
71', Berdnikov A. ↓, Popov A. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Tsaraev A. ⚽,
78', Krachkovskii A. ↓, Tarba Z. ↑,
81', Lipovoy D. ↓, Gorbunov I. ↑,

Preview

Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chernomorets will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
28.07.25	Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:2 ✺
21.07.25	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWWT
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
25.07.25	Arsenal Tula - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Arsenal Tula - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Arsenal Tula - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Ufa - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
07.03.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Arsenal Tula	0:0
13.07.24	Arsenal Tula - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0
03.03.24	Arsenal Tula - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0
12.08.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Arsenal Tula	2:1

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